Future malaria environmental suitability in Africa is sensitive to hydrology.

Changes in climate shift the geographic locations that are suitable for malaria transmission because of the thermal constraints on vector Anopheles mosquitos and Plasmodium spp. malaria parasites and the lack of availability of surface water for vector breeding. Previous Africa-wide assessments have tended to solely represent surface water using precipitation, ignoring many important hydrological processes. Here, we applied a validated and weighted ensemble of global hydrological and climate models to estimate present and future areas of hydroclimatic suitability for malaria transmission. With explicit surface water representation, we predict a net decrease in areas suitable for malaria transmission from 2025 onward, greater sensitivity to future greenhouse gas emissions, and different, more complex, malaria transmission patterns. Areas of malaria transmission that are projected to change are smaller than those estimated by precipitation-based estimates but are associated with greater changes in transmission season lengths.

Cellular host response sepsis test for risk stratification of patients in the emergency department: A pooled analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Sepsis is one of the most common, costly, and misdiagnosed conditions in U.S. emergency departments (EDs). ED providers often treat on nonspecific signs, subjective suspicion, or presumption of infection, resulting in over- and undertreatment. An increased understanding of host response has opened a new direction for sepsis diagnostics. The IntelliSep test is a U.S. Food and Drug Administration-cleared cellular host response diagnostic that could help distinguish sepsis in ED settings. Our objective was to evaluate the potential of the cellular host response test to expedite appropriate care for patients who present with signs of infection. METHODS: We performed a pooled analysis of five adult (≥18 years) cohorts enrolled at seven geographically diverse U.S. sites in separate studies. Structured blinded adjudication was used to classify presence or absence of sepsis, and only patients with high confidence in the adjudicated label were included (n = 1002), defined as patients for whom there was consensus in the determination of sepsis per the Sepsis-3 and severe sepsis per the Sepsis-2 definitions between both the independent adjudication panel and the site-level physician. RESULTS: Among patients with signs or suspicion of infection, the test achieved similar or better performance compared to other indicators in identifying patients at high risk for sepsis (specificity > 83%) and significantly superior performance in identifying those at low risk (sensitivity > 92%; 0% sepsis-associated mortality). The test also stratified severity of illness, as shown by 30-day in-hospital mortality (p < 0.001), hospital length of stay (p < 0.01), and use of hospital resources (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that the cellular host response test provides clinically actionable results for patients at both high and low risk for sepsis and provides a rapid, objective means for risk stratification of patients with signs of infection. If integrated into standard of care, the test may help improve outcomes and reduce unnecessary antibiotic use.

Validation of a Novel, Rapid Sepsis Diagnostic for Emergency Department Use.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the in vitro IntelliSep test, a microfluidic assay that quantifies the state of immune activation by evaluating the biophysical properties of leukocytes, as a rapid diagnostic for sepsis. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Five emergency departments (EDs) in Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, and Washington. PATIENTS: Adult patients presenting to the ED with signs (two of four Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome criteria, where one must be temperature or WBC count) or suspicion (provider-ordered culture) of infection. INTERVENTIONS: All patients underwent testing with the IntelliSep using ethylene diamine tetraacetic acid-anticoagulated whole blood followed by retrospective adjudication for sepsis by sepsis-3 criteria by a blinded panel of physicians. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of 599 patients enrolled, 572 patients were included in the final analysis. The result of the IntelliSep test is reported as the IntelliSep Index (ISI), ranging from 0.1 to 10.0, divided into three interpretation bands for the risk of sepsis: band 1 (low) to band 3 (high). The median turnaround time for ISI results was 7.2 minutes. The ISI resulted band 1 in 252 (44.1%), band 2 in 160 (28.0%), and band 3 in 160 (28.0%). Sepsis occurred in 26.6% (152 of 572 patients). Sepsis prevalence was 11.1% (95% CI, 7.5-15.7%) in band 1, 28.1% (95% CI, 21.3-35.8%) in band 2, and 49.4% (95% CI, 41.4-57.4%) in band 3. The Positive Percent Agreement of band 1 was 81.6% and the Negative Percent Agreement of band 3 was 80.7%, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.74. Compared with band 1, band 3 correlated with adverse clinical outcomes, including mortality, and resource utilization. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing ISI interpretation band is associated with increasing probability of sepsis in patients presenting to the ED with suspected infection.

Future Surgical Leaders: Resident Perception Of Longitudinal Leadership And Non-Technical Skills Curriculum.

OBJECTIVE: A paucity of formal leadership training programs exists for residents, and outcomes of those are limited in reporting. Based on a robust needs assessment, our program created a longitudinal cohort curriculum, Future Surgical Leaders, for residents and fellows of all levels to provide training in nontechnical skills. Our objective was to evaluate surgical resident short-term outcomes and satisfaction with the Future Surgical Leaders (FSL) curriculum. DESIGN: Participants were sent a brief survey after each session of the curriculum from October 2020 to February 2022. The data was compiled after seventeen months of delivery. Likert Scale responses and text comments were analyzed with a 2-sample t-test and 2-way analysis of variance. SETTING: Academic tertiary institution. PARTICIPANTS: General surgery residents. RESULTS: Survey response rate from 54 sessions among all postgraduate year levels was 73%. Overall, 96% of residents/fellows either "agreed" or "strongly agreed" that the topics of the FSL curriculum were important to learn during surgical training. Only 24% of learners knew "a lot" or "a great deal" about the topics prior to the session which rose to 73% afterwards (p < 0.01). Each postgraduate year class showed statistically significant increase in knowledge. About 80% of learners wanted to investigate these topics further. Open comment questions identified themes requesting delivery of specific sessions earlier in residency training and positive overall attitudes toward the FSL curriculum. CONCLUSIONS: FSL is a satisfactory means of teaching leadership skills to surgical residents. Residents recognize the need to develop leadership skills prior to entering practice and want to learn more. The FSL curriculum may be considered for application at other surgical training programs.

Evolution of a Plasmid Regulatory Circuit Ameliorates Plasmid Fitness Cost.

Plasmids play a major role in bacterial evolution and rapid adaptation by facilitating the horizontal transfer of diverse genes. Understanding how plasmids are transferred and maintained in bacterial populations is important, especially given the increasing plasmid-mediated spread of antibiotic-resistance genes to human pathogens. We investigated why broad-host range plasmid pBP136, originally isolated from clinical samples of Bordetella pertussis, quickly became extinct in laboratory Escherichia coli populations. We found that the inactivation of a previously uncharacterized plasmid gene, upf31, drastically improved long-term maintenance of the plasmid in E. coli. Loss of this single gene was associated with decreased transcription of numerous genes in the plasmid korA, korB and korC regulons, as well as changes in many chromosomal genes primarily related to metabolism. This change in transcriptome is likely initiated by Upf31 interacting with one of these major plasmid regulators, KorB. Expression of upf31 in trans not only negatively affected the persistence of a pBP136 upf31 deletion mutant, but also of the closely related archetype IncPß plasmid R751, which is stable in E. coli and natively encodes an internally truncated upf31 allele. This suggests that whereas the upf31 allele in pBP136 might advantageously modulate gene expression in its original host, B. pertussis, the same function can have harmful effects in E. coli. Thus, using multiple hosts to study the effects of knockouts in broad-host-range plasmid genes of unknown function may reveal unexpected mechanisms that determine the fate of that plasmid in bacterial communities.

Low-dose Paclitaxel with Pembrolizumab Enhances Clinical and Immunologic Responses in Platinum-refractory Urothelial Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Single-agent checkpoint inhibition is effective in a minority of patients with platinum-refractory urothelial carcinoma; therefore, the efficacy of combining low-dose paclitaxel with pembrolizumab was tested. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a prospective, single-arm phase II trial with key inclusion criteria of imaging progression within 12 months of platinum therapy and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ≤1. Treatment was pembrolizumab 200 mg day 1 and paclitaxel 80 mg/m2 days 1 and 8 of a 21-day cycle for up to eight cycles unless progression or unacceptable adverse events (AE). The primary endpoint was overall response rate (ORR) with overall survival (OS), 6-month progression-free survival (PFS), and safety as key secondary endpoints. Change in circulating immune cell populations, plasma, and urinary miRs were evaluated. RESULTS: Twenty-seven patients were treated between April 2016 and June 2020, with median follow-up of 12.4 months. Baseline median age was 68 years, with 81% men and 78% non-Hispanic White. ORR was 33% by intention to treat and 36% in imaging-evaluable patients with three complete responses. Six-month PFS rate was 48.1% [95% confidence interval (CI): 28.7-65.2] and median OS 12.4 months (95% CI: 8.7 months to not reached). Common ≥ grade 2 possibly-related AEs were anemia, lymphopenia, hyperglycemia, and fatigue; grade 3/4 AEs occurred in 56%, including two immune-mediated AEs (pneumonitis and nephritis). Responding patients had a higher percentage of circulating CD4+IFNγ+ T cells. Levels of some miRs, including plasma miR 181 and miR 223, varied in responders compared with nonresponders. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of low-dose paclitaxel to pembrolizumab is active and safe in platinum-refractory urothelial carcinoma. SIGNIFICANCE: We found that combining pembrolizumab with low-dose paclitaxel may be effective in patients with urothelial carcinoma progressing on platinum chemotherapy, with favorable safety profiles.

Rapid-acting antidepressant drugs modulate affective bias in rats.

How rapid-acting antidepressants (RAADs), such as ketamine, induce immediate and sustained improvements in mood in patients with major depressive disorder (MDD) is poorly understood. A core feature of MDD is the prevalence of cognitive processing biases associated with negative affective states, and the alleviation of negative affective biases may be an index of response to drug treatment. Here, we used an affective bias behavioral test in rats, based on an associative learning task, to investigate the effects of RAADs. To generate an affective bias, animals learned to associate two different digging substrates with a food reward in the presence or absence of an affective state manipulation. A choice between the two reward-associated digging substrates was used to quantify the affective bias generated. Acute treatment with the RAADs ketamine, scopolamine, or psilocybin selectively attenuated a negative affective bias in the affective bias test. Low, but not high, doses of ketamine and psilocybin reversed the valence of the negative affective bias 24 hours after RAAD treatment. Only treatment with psilocybin, but not ketamine or scopolamine, led to a positive affective bias that was dependent on new learning and memory formation. The relearning effects of ketamine were dependent on protein synthesis localized to the rat medial prefrontal cortex and could be modulated by cue reactivation, consistent with experience-dependent neural plasticity. These findings suggest a neuropsychological mechanism that may explain both the acute and sustained effects of RAADs, potentially linking their effects on neural plasticity with affective bias modulation in a rodent model.

Pulmonary vascular dysfunction without pulmonary hypertension: A distinct phenotype in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

Pulmonary vascular dysfunction in the absence of pulmonary hypertension (PH) has been observed in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). We describe the prevalence and etiology of elevated pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) without PH among patients with IPF. Hemodynamic, echocardiographic, and functional respiratory imaging (FRI) data was compared between patients with IPF without PH with normal (<3 wood units) and elevated PVR (≥3 wood units). Mortality between these two groups were compared to patients with IPF and PH. Of 205 patients with IPF, there were 146 patients without PH, of whom 114 (78.1%) had a normal PVR and 32 (21.9%) who had a high PVR. Functional testing and hemodynamics were similar in the two groups, except for the cardiac index which was significantly lower in patients with a high PVR (2.3 vs. 2.6 L/min/m2; p = 0.004). Echocardiographic comparison demonstrated a higher tricuspid regurgitant velocity in those with a high PVR (3.4 vs 3.0 m/s; p = 0.046). FRI revealed proportionately fewer large vessels as a proportion of the vasculature in the patients without PH and elevated PVRs. Among patients without PH, PVR was associated with increased mortality. In conclusion, patients with IPF without PH but a high PVR appear to be a distinct phenotype with a prognosis between those with and without PH, likely reflecting the continuum of vascular dysfunction. The basis for this unique hemodynamic profile could not be definitively discerned although FRI suggested an aberrant anatomical vascular response.

Hospitalization Rates in Interstitial Lung Disease: An Analysis of the Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation Registry.

RATIONALE: Little is known about hospitalization in other types of interstitial lung disease (ILD) besides idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine the frequency of hospitalizations in various types of ILD and elucidate the association of hospitalization with outcomes. METHODS: An analysis of the Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry data was performed. Inpatient hospitalization rates and survival following hospitalization were compared for various types of ILD. RESULTS: Hospitalization rates were similar across ILD types (40.6% of IPF participants, 42.8% of connective tissue disease related ILD (CTD-ILD), 44.9% of non-IPF idiopathic interstitial pneumonia (IIPs), 46.5% of chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis (CHP) participants, and 53.3% of "other" ILD participants). All-cause hospitalization was not associated with decreased transplant-free survival (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) 1.20, 95% CI: 0.98, 1.46, p=0.0759) after adjusting for co-morbidities and severity of illness; however respiratory-related hospitalization was (AHR 1.53, 95% CI: 1.23, 1.90, p=0.0001). CTD-ILD (HR 0.43, 95% CI: 0.25, 0.75, p=0.0031) and non-IPF IIP (HR 0.3, 95% CI: 0.15, 0.58, p=0.005) had a lower risk of death following hospitalization compared to IPF while CHP (HR 0.67, 95% CI: 0.37, 1.20, p=0.1747) and "other-ILD" (HR 0.54, 95% CI: 0.19, 1.54, p=0.25) had a comparable risk to IPF. CONCLUSION: Rates of hospitalization are similar across ILD subtypes. The risk of death or transplant following hospitalization is lower in CTD-ILD, CHP and non-IPF IIP compared to IPF participants. In a mixed population of ILD participants, all-cause hospitalizations were not associated with decreased transplant-free survival; however respiratory-related hospitalizations were.

Somnotate: A probabilistic sleep stage classifier for studying vigilance state transitions.

Electrophysiological recordings from freely behaving animals are a widespread and powerful mode of investigation in sleep research. These recordings generate large amounts of data that require sleep stage annotation (polysomnography), in which the data is parcellated according to three vigilance states: awake, rapid eye movement (REM) sleep, and non-REM (NREM) sleep. Manual and current computational annotation methods ignore intermediate states because the classification features become ambiguous, even though intermediate states contain important information regarding vigilance state dynamics. To address this problem, we have developed "Somnotate"-a probabilistic classifier based on a combination of linear discriminant analysis (LDA) with a hidden Markov model (HMM). First we demonstrate that Somnotate sets new standards in polysomnography, exhibiting annotation accuracies that exceed human experts on mouse electrophysiological data, remarkable robustness to errors in the training data, compatibility with different recording configurations, and an ability to maintain high accuracy during experimental interventions. However, the key feature of Somnotate is that it quantifies and reports the certainty of its annotations. We leverage this feature to reveal that many intermediate vigilance states cluster around state transitions, whereas others correspond to failed attempts to transition. This enables us to show for the first time that the success rates of different types of transition are differentially affected by experimental manipulations and can explain previously observed sleep patterns. Somnotate is open-source and has the potential to both facilitate the study of sleep stage transitions and offer new insights into the mechanisms underlying sleep-wake dynamics.

CBT for Generalized Anxiety Disorder in Parkinson's Disease: A Case Study.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the use of cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) in a case of co-occurring generalized anxiety disorder (GAD) and Parkinson's disease (PD). METHODS: This case study refers to a male aged 75 years with a diagnosis of Idiopathic Parkinson's disease. It focuses on applying a CBT model to address the psychological difficulties with PD and GAD. RESULTS: This case study reveals key aspects in presentation, diagnosis, and psychological treatment between PD and GAD, and is one of few studies published in this area. CONCLUSIONS: Symptoms of anxiety in an older adult with PD decreased during a course of CBT. The implications of the treatment outcome of this study and further considerations of treatment plans for comorbid PD and anxiety have been discussed. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: Using CBT could positively impact non-motor symptoms of Parkinson's, such as sleep difficulties and speech impediments. Using CBT for the catastrophic thinking and worry content in GAD seems to act as a complementary therapy for psychological/non-motor symptoms of PD.

Bovine Serum Albumin Elicits IL-33-Dependent Adipose Tissue Eosinophilia: Potential Relevance to Ovalbumin-induced Models of Allergic Disease.

All cells of the immune system reside in adipose tissue (AT), and increasing type 2 immune cells may be a therapeutic strategy to improve metabolic health. In our previous study using i.p. IL-5 injections to increase eosinophils, we observed that a standard vehicle control of 0.1% BSA also elicited profound AT eosinophilia. In this study, we aimed to determine whether BSA-induced AT eosinophilia results in metabolic benefits in murine models of diet-induced obesity. I.p. 0.1% BSA injections increased AT eosinophils after 4 wk. Despite elevating eosinophils to >50% of immune cells in the AT, body weight and glucose tolerance were not different between groups. Interestingly, BSA elicited epithelial IL-33 production, as well as gene expression for type 2 cytokines and IgE production that were dependent on IL-33. Moreover, multiple models of OVA sensitization also drove AT eosinophilia. Following transplantation of a donor fat pad with BSA-induced eosinophilia, OVA-sensitized recipient mice had higher numbers of bronchoalveolar lavage eosinophils that were recipient derived. Interestingly, lungs of recipient mice contained eosinophils, macrophages, and CD8 T cells from the donor AT. These trafficked similarly from BSA- and non-BSA-treated AT, suggesting even otherwise healthy AT serves as a reservoir of immune cells capable of migrating to the lungs. In conclusion, our studies suggest that i.p. injections of BSA and OVA induce an allergic response in the AT that elicits eosinophil recruitment, which may be an important consideration for those using OVA in animal models of allergic disease.

Enzymatic synthesis and nanopore sequencing of 12-letter supernumerary DNA.

The 4-letter DNA alphabet (A, T, G, C) as found in Nature is an elegant, yet non-exhaustive solution to the problem of storage, transfer, and evolution of biological information. Here, we report on strategies for both writing and reading DNA with expanded alphabets composed of up to 12 letters (A, T, G, C, B, S, P, Z, X, K, J, V). For writing, we devise an enzymatic strategy for inserting a singular, orthogonal xenonucleic acid (XNA) base pair into standard DNA sequences using 2'-deoxy-xenonucleoside triphosphates as substrates. Integrating this strategy with combinatorial oligos generated on a chip, we construct libraries containing single XNA bases for parameterizing kmer basecalling models for commercially available nanopore sequencing. These elementary steps are combined to synthesize and sequence DNA containing 12 letters - the upper limit of what is accessible within the electroneutral, canonical base pairing framework. By introducing low-barrier synthesis and sequencing strategies, this work overcomes previous obstacles paving the way for making expanded alphabets widely accessible.

Factors associated with listing for lung transplantation in IPF patients: An analysis of the pulmonary fibrosis foundation registry.

Rationale and objectives: Lung transplantation is a potentially life-saving treatment option for patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF); however, not all eligible candidates get referred and listed for transplantation. Amongst IPF patients within the Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry (PFF-R), we sought to determine the proportion of patients who undergo lung transplant listing and the characteristics associated with transplant listing. Methods: An analysis of IPF patients with at least six months of follow-up data was performed. Patients with well-established contraindications to lung transplantation were excluded. Two complementary analyses were performed. The "prevalent" population included all patients with IPF at time of enrollment into the registry. The "incident severe" population included all patients with IPF who progressed to GAP Stage 3. Results: Of the 2003 patients in the PFF-R, 475 patients were included in the "prevalent" population. Of this group, only 42 (8.8%) were either listed for or underwent lung transplant. Univariable analysis of the "prevalent" population found age (per 10 year increase, OR 0.531, p = 0.0025), percent predicted FVC (OR 0.572, p=<0.0001), percent predicted DLCO (OR 0.606, p < 0.0001), 6-min walk distance (per 50 m, OR 0.831, p = 0.019), and oxygen use at rest (OR 5.157, p < 0.0001) were predictive of listing. On multivariable analysis, age (per 10 year increase, OR 0.558, p = 0.0088), percent predicted FVC (OR 0.728, p = 0.0161), and oxygen use at rest (OR 3.264, p = 0.0029) remained significant predictors for lung transplant listing. The "incident severe" group consisted of 176 patients (8.8%). 24 patients (13.6%) from this cohort were either listed for or received a transplant. Only age (per 10 year increase, OR 0.0286, p = 0.0465) was associated with transplant listing on univariable analysis in the Incident severe population. Conclusion: Only a small proportion of potentially eligible patients with IPF are listed for lung transplantation, even when seen at pulmonary fibrosis centers of excellence. Advanced age appears to be the primary factor associated with failure to be listed. Further refinement of future registry data is required to more clearly delineate exact reasons for low rates of listing.

Anemochorous and zoochorous seeds of trees from the Brazilian savannas differ in fatty acid content and composition.

Fatty acids (FAs) stored as triacylglycerols (TAGs) are an important source of carbon and energy for germination and seedling development, particularly for plants with small wind-dispersed seeds, allowing greater efficiency in storing both energy and carbon. These plants should be under strong selection to produce seeds rich in FAs and with large amounts of saturated FAs. Their closely packed single-chain configuration allows greater packing, more carbon and energy per unit mass, and are less costly to produce. Efficient carbon storage would be less crucial for zoochorous species, which can reach much larger seed sizes (mass). We analysed the transesterified FA profile from seeds of 22 anemochorous and zoochorous tree species from the Cerrado savannas of Central Brazil. We tested if seed FA content covaried with seed mass and if anemochorous and zoochorous seeds differed in FA contents and distribution. Fatty acids were an important seed source of carbon and energy for most species. Fifteen different FAs were identified. Oleic, linoleic and linolenic tended to be the predominant unsaturated FAs. Oleic acid corresponded to more than 60 % of the total transesterified FAs in seeds of Kielmeyera coriacea, Qualea dichotoma and Triplaris americana. Linoleic acid corresponded to more than 50 % of total FA in Dalbergia miscolobium, Parkia platycephala and Ferdinandusa elliptica while linolenic acid was the dominant component in Inga cylindrica. Across species, palmitic and stearic were the dominant saturated FAs. The only exception was lauric acid (68 % of total FA) in seeds of Qualea grandiflora. On a log10 scale, as the seed increased in mass, accumulation of FAs tends to proceed at a faster rate in anemochorous species than in zoochorous species. They also became increasingly richer in saturated FAs. Zoochorous species had seed TAGs with higher proportion of polyunsaturated FAs.

Observing inhibition of the SARS-CoV-2 helicase at single-nucleotide resolution.

The genome of SARS-CoV-2 encodes for a helicase (nsp13) that is essential for viral replication and highly conserved across related viruses, making it an attractive antiviral target. Here we use nanopore tweezers, a high-resolution single-molecule technique, to gain detailed insight into how nsp13 turns ATP-hydrolysis into directed motion along nucleic acid strands. We measured nsp13 both as it translocates along single-stranded DNA or unwinds double-stranded DNA. Our data reveal nsp13's single-nucleotide steps, translocating at ∼1000 nt/s or unwinding at ∼100 bp/s. Nanopore tweezers' high spatiotemporal resolution enables detailed kinetic analysis of nsp13 motion. As a proof-of-principle for inhibition studies, we observed nsp13's motion in the presence of the ATPase inhibitor ATPγS. We construct a detailed picture of inhibition in which ATPγS has multiple mechanisms of inhibition. The dominant mechanism of inhibition depends on the application of assisting force. This lays the groundwork for future single-molecule inhibition studies with viral helicases.

Microbial Primer: The logic of bacterial plasmids.

This short primer is intended to give an overview of bacterial plasmids for those not yet familiar with these fascinating genetic elements. It covers their basic properties but does not attempt to cover the diversity of phenotypic properties that can be encoded by plasmids, and includes suggestions for further reading.

Costs and Consequences of a Novel Emergency Department Sepsis Diagnostic Test: The IntelliSep Index.

Sepsis causes 270,000 deaths and costs $38 billion annually in the United States. Most cases of sepsis present in the emergency department (ED), where rapid diagnosis remains challenging. The IntelliSep Index (ISI) is a novel diagnostic test that analyzes characteristics of WBC structure and provides a reliable early signal for sepsis. This study performs a cost-consequence analysis of the ISI relative to procalcitonin for early sepsis diagnosis in the ED. PERSPECTIVE: U.S. healthcare system. SETTING: Community hospital ED. METHODS: A decision tree analysis was performed comparing ISI with procalcitonin. Model parameters included prevalence of sepsis, sensitivity and specificity of diagnostic tests (both ISI and procalcitonin), costs of hospitalization, and mortality rate stratified by diagnostic test result. Mortality and prevalence of sepsis were estimated from best available literature. Costs were estimated based on an analysis of a large, national discharge dataset, and adjusted to 2018 U.S. dollars. Outcomes included expected costs and survival. RESULTS: Assuming a confirmed sepsis prevalence of 16.9% (adjudicated to Sepsis-3), the ISI strategy had an expected cost per patient of $3,849 and expected survival rate of 95.08%, whereas the procalcitonin strategy had an expected cost of $4,656 per patient and an expected survival of 94.98%. ISI was both less costly and more effective than procalcitonin, primarily because of fewer false-negative results. These results were robust in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: ISI was both less costly and more effective in preventing mortality than procalcitonin, primarily because of fewer false-negative results. The ISI may provide health systems with a higher-value diagnostic test in ED sepsis evaluation. Additional work is needed to validate these results in clinical practice.

Metamagnetic transition in the twoforbitals Kondo lattice model.

In this work, we study the effects of a transverse magnetic field in a Kondo lattice model with twoforbitals interacting with the conduction electrons. Thefelectrons that are present on the same site interact through Hund's coupling, while on neighboring sites they interact through intersite exchange. We consider here that part offelectrons are localized (orbital 1) while another part (orbital 2) are delocalized, as it is frequent in uranium systems. Then, only electrons in the localized orbital 1 interact through exchange interaction with the neighboring ones, while electrons in orbital 2 are coupled with conduction electrons through a Kondo interaction. We obtain a solution where ferromagnetism and Kondo effect coexist for small values of an applied transverse magnetic field forT→0. Increasing the transverse field, two situations can be obtained when Kondo coupling vanishes: first, a metamagnetic transition occurs just before or at the same time of the fully polarized state, and second, a metamagnetic transition occurs when the spins are already pointing out along the magnetic field.